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THEORY OF CHANGE

 

The Socio-economic Response and Recovery Plan is focused on supporting the Government of the Republic of Moldova to tackle the health emergency as well, to address the social and economic impact of the pandemic, and to contribute to the principle of leaving no one behind (LNOB). It is also intended to reduce the country’s vulnerability to the pandemic, enabling a transparent, human-rights-compliant, gender-sensitive and effective recovery process.

 

 


The challenge

The COVID-19 pandemic is a public health, socio-economic, political, human rights and mobility crisis that has resulted in nearly  147871 cases in Moldova (Jan 2021). The COVID -19 related measures have impacted negatively in the livelihoods of many Moldovans living in the country and abroad. It has largely impacted negatively in the access to public services.

Health first
Protecting people
Economic response
Macroeconomic response
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Activities

  • Enable the GoM, CSOs 
  • Technical assistance
  • Training
  • Other

 

Outputs

The healthcare system and other relevant authorities in Moldova have improved capacities, means and instruments for a rapid response to the outbreak of the pandemic

Outcome

The Moldovan govt. and its people successfully overcome the immediate and medium-term adverse health, social and economic consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic

Impact

By the end of 2021, the people of Moldova, in particular the most vulnerable, have access to essential services, in particular, health and livelihoods opportunities during the COVID-19 response and recuperation

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Activities

  • Provision of food and supplies
  • Procurement of IT equipment and WASH for schools, shelters and youth centers
  • Services for returning migrants
  • Other

Outputs

  • Identified vulnerable groups have been assisted with immediate use supplies
  • The public agencies have been assisted to ensure the continuity services (incl education)
  • Returning migrants receive social and economic reintegration services

Outcome

Identified vulnerable groups in Moldova are benefitting from social protection, education, and essential services

Impact

By the end of 2021, the people of Moldova, in particular the most vulnerable, have access to essential services, in particular, health and livelihoods opportunities during the COVID-19 response and recuperation

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Activities

  • Policy advice, technical assist
  • Digitalization
  • Support for MSMEs
  • Other

Outputs

Government agencies have been supported to develop targeted policies to promote jobs creation and support small and medium-sized enterprises, and vulnerable workers

Outcome

Ensured the protection of jobs, small and medium-sized enterprises, and vulnerable workers in the informal economy through targeted policy, technical assistance, and support

Impact

By the end of 2021, the people of Moldova, in particular the most vulnerable, have access to essential services, in particular, health and livelihoods opportunities during the COVID-19 response and recuperation

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Activities

  • Analytical advisory and technical assist
  • Carry out assessments and surveys for evidence-based policy making
  • Improve demographic data collection and analysis
  • Other

Outputs

  • Macroeconomic policies are improved, based on increased capacities and additional data and analysis
  • Analytical advisory and technical assistance services provided to the Government of Moldova for evidence-based policy making and better social expenditure

Outcome

Rapid and sustainable economic recovery based on sound macro policies

Impact

By the end of 2021, the people of Moldova, in particular the most vulnerable, have access to essential services, in particular, health and livelihoods opportunities during the COVID-19 response and recuperation

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Strategy

Enable the GoM, CSOs and communities to supress the transmission of the virus and respond to the population needs
Develop national capacities to recover better
Mitigate the socio-economic impact and safeguard people and their livelihoods
Promote solutions that are innovative, digital, nondiscriminatory, and greener

Key assumptions

The country will have resources to implement the necessary activities, and it will also have the support of the United Nations to leverage access to new resources
The United Nations can mobilize resources to provide the required technical support to the GoM to generates pertinent evidence on the impact of the pandemic
The United Nations System will implement various initiatives aligned with national priorities
The technical skills and equipment required for the response are accessible to the UN entities